Cox Automotive Forecast: October New-Vehicle Sales Expected To Slow For Sixth Straight Month


-U.S. vehicle deals in October are estimate to slow for a 6th sequential month as low stock and excessive costs keep on compelling the business.

 – Annual vehicle deals pace in October is relied upon to complete close 11.8 million, down from last month’s 12.2 million speed and well beneath last October’s initial COVID recuperation speed of 16.4 million. 

– October deals volume is relied upon to fall almost 30% from one year prior and finish close to 950,000 units, the most reduced October result since the Great Recession.

October U.S. automobile deals are conjecture to be hit hard by supply constraints from the chip deficiency, bringing about a new depressed spot for the 2021 market. As per a gauge delivered today by Cox Automotive, the business pace, or occasionally changed yearly rate (SAAR), in October is relied upon to tumble to 11.8 million units, down from September’s 12.2 million speed and down from the October 2020 speed of 16.4 million.

Deals volume in October is relied upon to endure a huge shot too and tumble to only 950,000 units, down almost 30% from October 2020 and down almost 6% from September. There is one less selling day this October contrasted with last year, however two a greater number of days than September. In any case, with supply levels so low, the quantity of deals days will insignificantly affect the month’s outcomes.


Cox Automotive Forecast: October New-Vehicle Sales For Sixth Straight Month

“October new-vehicle deals will be absolutely unnerving when reported one week from now,” said Charlie Chesbrough, senior business analyst, Cox Automotive. “We hope to see direct proof that the chip deficiency keeps on affecting every one of the automakers, even those that have been making a surprising showing overseeing through this continuous emergency.”

The normal decrease in October would be the 6th month straight of falling deals pace and the most reduced October volume beginning around 2010 when the market was in the beginning of the Great Recession recuperation. It would likewise be the most reduced deals volume since April 2020 when the market was at first banged by the main flood of COVID-19 and deals arrived at a noteworthy low of 717,063.

The car market began the year with a tight inventory, yet the circumstance has bit by bit declined. Stock levels are half of what they were a year prior, and store network issues keep on disturbing creation. It is normal that the following not many months will be especially difficult as deals will be interfered with by the absence of item accessible on vendor parcels. In any case, it is normal that numerous OEM supply issues will work on humbly in the coming months. The viewpoint for 2022 is that tight supplies will stay a solid headwind for the business. Cox Automotive is determining absolute new-vehicle deals will complete more like 15 million of every 2021 and recuperate to 16.3 million out of 2022.

October 2021 Sales Forecast Highlights 

  • New light-vehicle deals are figure to tumble to 950,000 on units, down 410,000 units, almost 30% beneath a year ago. Contrasted with last month, deals are relied upon to fall 63,000, an almost 6% decay. 
  • The SAAR in October 2021 is assessed to be 11.8 million, down from September’s chip compelled 12.2 million speed and down from last October’s 16.4 million level.
Cox Automotive Forecas

About Cox Automotive Cox Automotive Inc. 

makes purchasing, selling, claiming and utilizing vehicles simpler for everybody. The worldwide organization’s in excess of 27,000 colleagues and group of brands, including Autotrader®,®, Dealertrack®, Dickinson Fleet Services, Kelley Blue Book®, Manheim®, NextGear Capital®, VinSolutions®, vAuto® and Xtime®, are enthusiastic with regards to aiding a large number of vehicle customers, 40,000 car seller customers across five landmasses and numerous others all through the car business flourish for a long time into the future. Cox Automotive is an auxiliary of Cox Enterprises Inc., an exclusive, Atlanta-based organization with yearly incomes of almost $20 billion.

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